Welcome to my webpage!
I am Michele Mancini, an economist at the Bank of Italy in the Emerging Markets and World Trade Division.
My research interests are: international trade, global value chains analysis, productivity estimation.
- icio – Economic Analysis with Inter-Country Input-Output tables in Stata. with F. Belotti and A. Borin, 2020, Policy Research Working Paper 9156. Washington, D.C.: World Bank [link] [slides]
Check icio website here!
ssc install icioicio measures trade in value-added and participation in GVCs of countries and sectors by exploiting Inter-Country Input-Output (ICIO) tables. It provides decompositions of aggregate, bilateral and sectoral exports and imports according to the source and the destination of their value-added content. The command allows to work directly with the most popular ICIO tables – WIOD (Timmer et al. 2015), TIVA (OECD), EORA (Lenzen et al. 2013); in addition, any other user-provided ICIO table can be loaded. icio encompasses the most relevant measures of value-added in exports and imports at different level of aggregation. It follows closely the accounting framework presented in Borin and Mancini (2019), which – in turn – extends, refines and reconciles the other main contributions in this strand of the literature. As different empirical questions call for distinct accounting methods, icio is designed to be flexible also in this respect.
- Check the new World Bank World Development Report 2020 on Global Value Chains here.
– GVC participation measures used in the Report follow the methodology from our works (Borin and Mancini, 2015, 2019).
– GVC indicators in the report can be computed in Stata with icio. See this help guide to replicate WDR2020 GVC measures.
– A full database (country/sector/time) of trade in value-added and GVC participation measures can be found here. Please check the read me file in the zip folder.
- Measuring What Matters in Global Value Chains and Value-Added Trade
with A. Borin, 2019, Policy Research Working Paper 8804. Washington, D.C.: World Bank [link] [slides]The spread of global value chains (GVCs) has given rise to new statistical tools, the Inter-Country Input-Output tables and new analytical frameworks aimed at properly identifying production linkages between and within economies. However, several important questions remain unaddressed. This paper proposes a new toolkit for value-added accounting of trade flows at the aggregate, bilateral, and sectoral levels that can be used to investigate a broad set of empirical questions – including an assessment of the share of trade related to GVCs. The paper shows how different empirical issues require distinct accounting perspectives, and maps these methodologies onto the economic questions they are best suited to address. In this way, in addition to providing novel tools, the paper brings a large part of the related literature under one comprehensive framework.
- Eu transfers and euroscepticism: can’t buy me love?
with A. Borin and E. Macchi.
– New version! [link]
– First version, June 2018, ECON Working Papers 289, University of Zurich[link]
The future of an institution, such as the European Union, ultimately depends on people’s support. This paper investigates whether EU redistributive policies have improved public attitudes towards European integration, both in terms of public opinion and political preferences. We focus on Cohesion Policy funds, whose allocation allows us to single out these effects by means of a regression discontinuity approach. The results show that EU transfers have mitigated the rise of Eurosceptical attitudes and reduced political consensus for anti-EU parties. The effects are homogeneous across different socio-economic groups, including the most disadvantaged ones. The improvement in public support for the EU does not appear to be exclusively a spillover of the positive economic effect of funding; we show evidence suggesting the existence of a ‘reciprocity-effect’ channel, i.e. citizens in recipient regions recognize the beneficial role of the EU as the source of funding
- The Cyclicality of the Income Elasticity of Trade [VoxEU.org]
with A. Borin, V. Di Nino, M. Sbracia
– Last Version, July 2017, Economic Working Papers n.1126, Bank of Italy [link]
– First Version, August 2016, MPRA paper 73000, University Library of Munich [link]
Michele Mancini economist global value chains international trade
Michele Mancini economist global value chains international trade icio